Minnesota vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 19

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • NIT Tournament First Round betting odds & predictions
  • Butler (14-17) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Minnesota (24-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Minnesota / Butler TV channel: ESPNU

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (24-8) visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs (14-17) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Minnesota vs. Butler Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Minnesota vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota+3.5 -110O 148.5 -115+
Butler -3.5 -110U 148.5 -105+

Minnesota vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Minnesota vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 32 games (+14.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+8.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Minnesota has a 23-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+14.25 Units / 40.54% ROI).

  • 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.55 Units / 7.23% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.5% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI).

  • 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 7.01% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -14.01% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5% ROI

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (385/614) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (607/946) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (416/649) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (177/280) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler has 15.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (332/422) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota has averaged 5.7 steals per game (195 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Minnesota has averaged 5.4 steals per game (287 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (232/609) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (58/184) in the second half this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (185/596) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (156/494) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,889 points/3,364 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Butler has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,715 points/1,490 shots) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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