- Kentucky (10-5) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (9-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Mississippi State / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN2
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-7) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (10-5) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lexington, KY.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +6.5 -105 | O 154.5 -110 | +240 |
| Kentucky | -6.5 -115 | U 154.5 -110 | -300 |
Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+2.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -100% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / -100% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -100% ROI
- 12-3 when betting the Over for +8.7 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 3-12 when betting the Under for -10.2 Units / -100% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (297/1,040) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (112 turnovers/16 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.6
Mississippi State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (228/348) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (245/381) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (275 assists/ 145 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Kentucky has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (275 assists/ 145 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Kentucky has averaged 90.8 points per game (1,362 points/15 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 77.2
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has allowed 60.5 points per game (1,875 points/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 66.7
Mississippi State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (140 steals/16 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Mississippi State has 140 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among SEC Teams
Mississippi State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (280 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (130/415) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (55/189) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Kentucky has forced 13.4 turnovers per game (201 turnovers/15 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.6
Kentucky has allowed 34.0 points per game (1,666 points/49 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32.0
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