Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

Texas A&M forward Andersson Garcia (11) guards Mississippi guard Matthew Murrell (11) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Oxford, Miss., Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Texas A&M won 69-61. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
  • Ole Miss is a -4.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Ole Miss TV channel: ESPN2

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss to take on the Ole Miss Rebels on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Oxford, MS, USA.

Ole Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+4.5 -110O 146.5 -105+155
Ole Miss -4.5 -110U 146.5 -115-190

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this college basketball game with 65.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 65.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -20.08% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 0.53% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.85 Units / 3.22% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -12.69% ROI

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.88% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +18 Units / 2.96% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -15.72% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.85 Units / 6.69% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (200/631) this season — 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (427/1,344) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/32 games) last season — 5th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (219 turnovers/25 games) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Ole Miss has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (219 turnovers/25 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Ole Miss has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (382 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Ole Miss has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (382 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has 222 steals this season — 7th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has allowed 9.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State has 478 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 9.1 steals per game (228 steals/25 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Ole Miss has averaged 9.1 steals per game (228 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Ole Miss has 228 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams

Ole Miss has 228 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.