Mississippi State vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 22

SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
  • Mississippi State is a -1.5 point favorite vs SMU
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Mississippi State / SMU TV channel: ESPN+ | ACCN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Nov. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. SMU Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State-1.5 -110O 157.5 -110-130
SMU +1.5 -110U 157.5 -110+105

Mississippi State vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on SMU vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+4.00 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+6.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.44% ROI).

  • 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 4.34% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 2-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 0.25% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State shot 32% from three (227/713) last season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Mississippi State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/32 games) last season — 5th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU averaged 15.2 assists per game (488 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 47th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State stole the ball 256 times last season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.