Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

(AP Photo)
  • Mississippi State is a -6.5 point favorite vs Missouri
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Missouri / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN

The Missouri Tigers visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Starkville, MS, USA.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Missouri vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+6.5 -110O 149.5 -110+230
Mississippi State -6.5 -110U 149.5 -110-295

Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+11.45 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+5.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.94 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.88 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.15 Units / 5.26% ROI).

  • 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.1 Units / 1.63% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.97% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -0.95 Units / -4.35% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.1 Units / -17.75% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 0.92% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -0.22% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -9.31% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has a 51% free throw rate (572 free throw attempts/1,118 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri has 28.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 20.1

Missouri has averaged 1.49 points per shot (1,663 points/1,118 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.30

Missouri has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (125 assists/ 127 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

Mississippi State shot 32% from three (227/713) last season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (218 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (429/634) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,831 points/1,294 shots) last season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri has averaged 10.1 steals per game (202 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.1

Missouri allowed 76.2 points per game (2,363 points/31 games) last season — 47th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 9.7 steals per game (203 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mississippi State has averaged 8.7 steals per game (459 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Mississippi State has 203 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State stole the ball 256 times last season — 2nd most among SEC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.