Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

A team manager in a dress shirt and tie clapping his hands in encouragement
(AP Photo)
  • Southern Illinois is a -1.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Missouri State / Southern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears visit Banterra Center to take on the Southern Illinois Salukis on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Carbondale, IL.

Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Missouri State vs. Southern Illinois Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Southern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+1.5 -105O 135.5 -110+110
Southern Illinois -1.5 -115U 135.5 -110-135

Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 62.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.94 Units / 5% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.12% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -28.69% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 4-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.9 Units / -38.31% ROI).

  • 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -48.25% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has 508 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,192 points/1,799 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (207/312) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Southern Illinois has a 33% free throw rate (312 free throw attempts/958 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Southern Illinois has made 6.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Southern Illinois has averaged 72.0 points per game (1,152 points/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 76.4

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Missouri State allowed opponents to shoot 42% (805/1,937) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Missouri State has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (361 rebounds/16 games) this season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has averaged 7.2 steals per game (115 steals/16 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (430/935) this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (130/353) this season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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