Morehead State vs Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

Man wearing a formal jacket, pointing towards a playing side on the basketball field
(AP Photo)
  • Tennessee State is a -6.5 point favorite vs Morehead State
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Morehead State / Tennessee State TV channel: ESPN+

The Morehead State Eagles visit Gentry Complex to take on the Tennessee State Tigers on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.

Tennessee State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morehead State+6.5 -105O 144.5 -110+240
Tennessee State -6.5 -115U 144.5 -110-300

Morehead State vs Tennessee State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morehead State vs Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Morehead State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morehead State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.53 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+16.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -19.11% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -22.86% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.01% ROI

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 17.48% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 10.84% ROI
  • 19-7 when betting the Over for +11.3 Units / 39.44% ROI
  • 7-19 when betting the Under for -13.85 Units / -48.51% ROI

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State attempted 895 threes last season — most among Ohio Valley Teams

Morehead State made 9.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Morehead State shot 36% from three (326/895) last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Morehead State had an eFG% of 55% last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 49%

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/29 games) this season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Tennessee State has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Tennessee State has a 38% free throw rate (1,308 free throw attempts/3,491 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee State has attempted 703 free throws this season — most among Ohio Valley Teams

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (903 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 46th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Morehead State allowed 63.8 points per game (2,170 points/34 games) last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 71.0

Morehead State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (162 steals/29 games) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Morehead State averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (903 rebounds/34 games) last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (765 rebounds/29 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Tennessee State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (765 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Tennessee State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (684 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee State stole the ball 203 times last season — 2nd most among Ohio Valley Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.