Morgan State vs Buffalo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 22

No 3 from Buffalo Bulls dribbling the NBA game ball while an opponent defends
(AP Photo)
  • Buffalo is a -3.5 point favorite vs Morgan State
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Morgan State / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+

The Morgan State Bears visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls on Nov. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY.

Buffalo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Morgan State vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Morgan State vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morgan State+3.5 -115O 158.5 -105+125
Buffalo -3.5 -105U 158.5 -115-155

Morgan State vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Morgan State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morgan State vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Morgan State will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morgan State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Morgan State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Morgan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morgan State has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -63.11% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 40% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Morgan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State made 4.7 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Morgan State averaged 12.5 assists per game (376 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Morgan State shot 45% (809/1,806) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Buffalo had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (388 assists/ 430 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Morgan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (700 rebounds/30 games) last season — 2nd best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 22.2

Morgan State allowed 77.4 points per game (2,323 points/30 games) last season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Morgan State allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th highest among MEAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Morgan State allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (204/592) last season — tied for 3rd highest among MEAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Buffalo forced 10.2 turnovers per game (306 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Buffalo allowed opponents to shoot 47% (884/1,866) last season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.