Morgan State vs Norfolk State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

Norfolk State coach encouraging players
(AP Photo)
  • Norfolk State is a -11.5 point favorite vs Morgan State
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Morgan State / Norfolk State TV channel: ESPN+

The Morgan State Bears visit Norfolk Scope Arena to take on the Norfolk State Spartans on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Norfolk, VA, VA, USA.

Norfolk State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Morgan State vs. Norfolk State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Morgan State vs. Norfolk State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morgan State+11.5 -110O 154.5 -105+525
Norfolk State -11.5 -110U 154.5 -115-750

Morgan State vs Norfolk State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Norfolk State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morgan State vs Norfolk State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Morgan State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morgan State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Morgan State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Norfolk State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.01 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Norfolk State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+4.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Norfolk State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Norfolk State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)

Morgan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morgan State has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.85 Units / 12.94% ROI).

  • 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -13.49% ROI
  • 18-9 when betting the Over for +8.1 Units / 27.23% ROI
  • 9-18 when betting the Under for -10.75 Units / -36.26% ROI

Norfolk State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Norfolk State has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.34% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 2.21% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -14.44% ROI

Morgan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State made 4.7 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Morgan State has an eFG% of 52% this season — tied for 4th lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 51%

Morgan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (376 assists/ 425 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Norfolk State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Norfolk State averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (391 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Norfolk State has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Norfolk State had 22.2 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Norfolk State is shooting 49% (897/1,817) this season — best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Morgan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (713 rebounds/30 games) this season — best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 22.1

Morgan State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (216 steals/30 games) this season — 4th lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (700 rebounds/30 games) last season — 2nd best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 22.2

Morgan State has allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (2,534 points/1,962 shots) this season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Norfolk State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Norfolk State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,523/3,685) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MEAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Norfolk State averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (755 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Norfolk State stole the ball 300 times last season — most among MEAC Teams

Norfolk State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (750 rebounds/32 games) this season — 2nd best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 22.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.