Morgan State vs UMBC Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 27

BetMGM Betting Nov 27, 2024, 9:35 AM

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UMBC head coach Jim Ferry calls out to players during the first half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Maryland Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022, in College Park, Md. Maryland won 80-64. (AP Photo/Jess Rapfogel)

(AP Photo/Jess Rapfogel)

UMBC is a -7.5 point favorite vs Morgan State
Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
Morgan State / UMBC TV channel: ESPN+

The Morgan State Bears visit Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena to take on the UMBC Retrievers on Nov. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

UMBC is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Morgan State vs. UMBC Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

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Morgan State vs. UMBC Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Morgan State	+7.5 -110	O 160.5 -110	+240
UMBC	-7.5 -110	U 160.5 -110	-300

Morgan State vs UMBC Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMBC will win this college basketball game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morgan State vs UMBC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.

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Morgan State Basketball Best Bets Today:

Morgan State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Morgan State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Best Bets Today:

UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
UMBC have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
UMBC has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)
UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Morgan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morgan State has a 3-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -69.11% ROI
3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.51% ROI
3-3 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 2-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -24.84% ROI
3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI

Morgan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State made 4.7 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Morgan State averaged 12.5 assists per game (376 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Morgan State shot 45% (809/1,806) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC shot 35% from three (246/692) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (490 free throw attempts/1,988 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC shot 47% (928/1,988) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMBC averaged 78.8 points per game (2,443 points/31 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Morgan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (700 rebounds/30 games) last season — 2nd best among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 22.2

Morgan State allowed 77.4 points per game (2,323 points/30 games) last season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Morgan State allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th highest among MEAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Morgan State allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (204/592) last season — tied for 3rd highest among MEAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC averaged 5.2 steals per game (162 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UMBC averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (804 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UMBC allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (235/745) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%