Mount St. Mary’s vs Merrimack Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

(AP Photo)
  • Merrimack is a -8.5 point favorite vs Mount St. Mary’s
  • Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
  • Mount St. Mary’s / Merrimack TV channel: ESPW

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers visit Boardwalk Hall to take on the Merrimack Warriors on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Atlantic City, NJ, USA.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Mount St. Mary’s vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 124.5 total points.

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Mount St. Mary’s vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mount St. Mary’s+8.5 -105O 124.5 -115+340
Merrimack -8.5 -115U 124.5 -105-450

Mount St. Mary’s vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mount St. Mary’s vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+22.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+3.05 Units / 5% ROI)

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 20-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.9 Units / 23.13% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.3 Units / 47.28% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -13.27% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.66% ROI

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.12% ROI).

  • 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.37% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (855 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (855 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Mount St. Mary’s had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Mount St. Mary’s is shooting 46% (1,544/3,374) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has 13.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Merrimack has averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (199 rebounds/32 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Merrimack has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (282 turnovers/32 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Merrimack has averaged 66.0 points per game (2,111 points/32 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (783/1,891) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 25.7 defensive rebounds per game (798 rebounds/31 games) this season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.5

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,211 points/1,891 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Mount St. Mary’s averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 9.7 steals per game (621 steals/64 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack has averaged 9.6 steals per game (307 steals/32 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Merrimack has averaged 20.3 defensive rebounds per game (650 rebounds/32 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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