Nevada vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
  • Nevada is a -10.5 point favorite vs Air Force
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Nevada / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Nevada Wolf Pack visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO, USA.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Nevada vs. Air Force Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada-10.5 -110O 128.5 -105-625
Air Force +10.5 -110U 128.5 -115+450

Nevada vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.98 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.25% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -5.28% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -22.22% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.86% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 7-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 2-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.6 Units / -82.32% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,288 free throw attempts/3,033 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 63.4 points per game (1,394 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Air Force had 15.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Air Force averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

Air Force has averaged 63.4 points per game (1,394 points/22 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada allowed 67.0 points per game (2,278 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (184/524) this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada forced 11.9 turnovers per game (405 turnovers/34 games) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Nevada allowed opponents to shoot 42% (790/1,886) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (3,658 points/2,710 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,106 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0


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