Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 3

(AP Photo)
  • New Mexico is a -5.5 point favorite vs Nevada
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Nevada / New Mexico TV channel: FS1

The Nevada Wolf Pack visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Albuquerque, NM.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Nevada vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada+5.5 -110O 150.5 -110+195
New Mexico -5.5 -110U 150.5 -110-250

Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.12% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -7.02% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -45.81% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.6% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -11.93% ROI).

  • 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -5.62% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada has an eFG% of 56% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 87.4 points per game (1,223 points/14 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.6

New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

New Mexico averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.2

New Mexico had a TS% of 47% last season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Nevada allowed 67.0 points per game (2,278 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Nevada allowed 67.0 points per game (2,278 points/34 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Nevada forced 11.9 turnovers per game (405 turnovers/34 games) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico forced 14.3 turnovers per game (485 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

New Mexico has forced 17.1 turnovers per game (239 turnovers/14 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico averaged 8.9 steals per game (303 steals/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.5

New Mexico has forced 15.1 turnovers per game (724 turnovers/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.2


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