- New Mexico is a -14.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
- Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
- New Mexico / Fresno State TV channel: ESPN+
The New Mexico Lobos visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs on Dec. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Fresno, CA.
New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).
The New Mexico vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 158.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | -14.5 -115 | O 158.5 -110 | -1400 |
| Fresno State | +14.5 -105 | U 158.5 -110 | +800 |
New Mexico vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
New Mexico vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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New Mexico Basketball Best Bets Today:
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Fresno State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.16 Units / 13% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
New Mexico has a 6-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -4.56% ROI).
- 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -6.55% ROI
- 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Fresno State has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).
- 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -18.9% ROI
- 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:
New Mexico has averaged 86.2 points per game (1,120 points/13 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.9
New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7
New Mexico has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (226 assists/ 154 TOs) this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2
New Mexico had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (505 assists/ 341 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Fresno State has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%
Fresno State has an eFG% of 45% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%
Fresno State is shooting 40% (331/828) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%
Fresno State is shooting 30% from three (90/301) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:
New Mexico forced 14.3 turnovers per game (485 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9
New Mexico has forced 15.1 turnovers per game (709 turnovers/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.2
New Mexico has 437 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Mountain West Teams
New Mexico has averaged 9.3 steals per game (437 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Fresno State has allowed 80.2 points per game (1,042 points/13 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1
Fresno State forced 10.7 turnovers per game (331 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Fresno State has allowed 75.9 points per game (3,338 points/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1
Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (399/863) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%
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