New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 13, 2024, 12:01 PM
  • Nevada (15-8) is a -2.5 point favorite vs New Mexico (16-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • New Mexico / Nevada TV channel: CBSSN

The New Mexico Lobos (16-7) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (15-8) on Feb. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Reno, NV.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The New Mexico vs. Nevada Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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New Mexico vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico+2.5 -110O 154.5 -110+120
Nevada -2.5 -110U 154.5 -110-145

New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+5.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -5.92% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 16-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.35 Units / 33.13% ROI).

  • 19-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 13.08% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Over for -8.55 Units / -33.66% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Under for +6.25 Units / 24.8% ROI

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

New Mexico has 23.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 9.7 steals per game (223 steals/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8

New Mexico has 223 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.