Niagara vs Fairfield Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

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A coach in a tracksuit shouting encouragement to his team
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2024, 7:36 AM
  • Fairfield (10-13) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Niagara (14-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Niagara / Fairfield TV channel: ESPN+

The Niagara Purple Eagles (14-8) visit Leo D. Mahoney Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags (10-13) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Fairfield, CT.

Fairfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Niagara vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Niagara vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Niagara+6.5 -110O 146.5 -110+
Fairfield -6.5 -110U 146.5 -110+

Niagara vs Fairfield Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fairfield will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Niagara vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Niagara will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Niagara has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Niagara have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Niagara have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Niagara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Niagara has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.53% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -11.76% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting the Over for +7.3 Units / 30.23% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting the Under for -9.65 Units / -39.63% ROI

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17.03% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.6 Units / 33.62% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting the Over for +8.3 Units / 32.87% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting the Under for -10.65 Units / -42.01% ROI

Niagara Offensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has averaged 1.28 points per shot (3,744 points/2,931 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Niagara is shooting 46% (1,351/2,931) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Niagara has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,728 points/1,289 shots) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Niagara has averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (157 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has attempted 592 threes this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has made 217 three-pointers this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Niagara Defensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (518 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Niagara has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (518 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Niagara has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,192 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Niagara has averaged 5.4 steals per game (292 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has averaged 8.0 steals per game (193 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Fairfield has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (325/1,061) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Fairfield has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Fairfield has 193 steals this season — 2nd most among MAAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.