Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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Mount St. Mary's head coach Dan Engelstad directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 16, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 12:17 PM
  • Mount St. Mary’s (8-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Niagara (10-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Niagara / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Niagara Purple Eagles (10-6) visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (8-9) on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Emmitsburg, MD.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Niagara vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Niagara vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Niagara+5.5 -110O 144.5 -110+195
Mount St. Mary’s -5.5 -110U 144.5 -110-250

Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Niagara will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Niagara has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Niagara have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Niagara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Niagara has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 19.37% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -16.18% ROI
  • 13-3 when betting the Over for +9.7 Units / 55.27% ROI
  • 3-13 when betting the Under for -11.45 Units / -64.51% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -24.77% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI

Niagara Offensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has an eFG% of 54% this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 49%

Niagara is shooting 39% from three (115/292) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Niagara is shooting 46% (1,197/2,608) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Niagara has averaged 1.27 points per shot (3,309 points/2,608 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (649 assists/ 688 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Mount St. Mary’s is shooting 54% from inside the arc (248/460) this season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Niagara Defensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has averaged 4.6 steals per game (78 steals/17 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Niagara has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,058 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.0

Niagara has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (103/287) this season — 2nd highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Niagara has averaged 5.1 steals per game (243 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (324/985) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,214/2,849) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 68.2 points per game (3,411 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 69.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.