North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:11 AM
  • North Carolina (14-9) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Miami (FL) (12-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • North Carolina / Miami (FL) TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels (14-9) visit Watsco Center to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (12-9) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Coral Gables, FL.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-3.5 -105O 159.5 -110-160
Miami (FL) +3.5 -115U 159.5 -110+135

North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+1.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.05 Units / 15.94% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.71% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -9.06% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.65% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -5.33% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.66% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 23.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.9

North Carolina has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

North Carolina has averaged 82.8 points per game (1,904 points/23 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) is shooting 49% (1,071/2,179) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Miami (FL) is shooting 78% from the free throw line (825/1,060) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Miami (FL) has scored 4,741 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) has a TS% of 51% this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (116/404) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (159/530) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,649 points/1,452 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (197/646) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (482/1,498) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Miami (FL) has averaged 7.8 steals per game (279 steals/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.