North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

A close up of a team manager wearing a red suit talking to his team
(AP Photo)
  • North Carolina is a -4.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • North Carolina / North Carolina State TV channel: ACCN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Raleigh, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-4.5 -110O 153.5 -115-210
North Carolina State +4.5 -110U 153.5 -105+170

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+1.90 Units / 0% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+15.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+2.46 Units / 5% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 6-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.35 Units / 7.69% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.43% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6 Units / -36.25% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina has 23.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina is shooting 53% (261/493) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 47%

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (147 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

North Carolina State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (516 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina State has averaged 1.26 points per shot (529 points/419 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.38

North Carolina State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/39 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,473 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/16 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (337 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.2

North Carolina State has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (337 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

North Carolina State averaged 7.3 steals per game (286 steals/39 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

North Carolina State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (236 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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