North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

FILE - Notre Dame guard Markus Burton (3) drives against Wake Forest guard Kevin Miller (0) during the first half of the Atlantic Coast Conference second round NCAA college basketball tournament game, March 13, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)
(AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
  • North Carolina is a -4.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • North Carolina / Notre Dame TV channel: CBS

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Notre Dame, IN.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-4.5 -110O 155.5 -105-190
Notre Dame +4.5 -110U 155.5 -115+155

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+2.25 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.11 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 5-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -31.92% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 0.17% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 6-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI).

  • 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.11% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 25.17% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -33.57% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina is shooting 26% from three (43/165) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame averaged 4.4 assists per game (142 assists/32 games) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Notre Dame shot 39% (341/870) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,023 points/870 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.34

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,416 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (118/400) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina has allowed 38.9 points per game (544 points/14 games) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.8

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (61 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (61 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.4

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (61 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Notre Dame has averaged 5.4 steals per game (242 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.