Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

Detroit Mercy head coach Mike Davis reacts after a foul call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against YOungstown State in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League tournament Thursday, March 2, 2023, in Youngstown, Ohio.
(AP Photo/David Dermer)
  • Northern Kentucky is a -6.5 point favorite vs Detroit Mercy
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Northern Kentucky / Detroit Mercy TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Kentucky Norse visit Calihan Hall to take on the Detroit Mercy Titans on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI, USA.

Northern Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Kentucky-6.5 -115O 130.5 -105-285
Detroit Mercy +6.5 -105U 130.5 -115+230

Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Kentucky will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.36 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 31 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.37 Units / 2% ROI)

Northern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Kentucky has a 4-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.4 Units / -54.68% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -16.91% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.15 Units / -29.5% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.25 Units / 14.13% ROI).

  • 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 40.8% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -2.95 Units / -12.85% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.73% ROI

Northern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (657 free throw attempts/1,811 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 31%

Northern Kentucky had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 18.8

Northern Kentucky is shooting 42% (516/1,221) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Kentucky has averaged 68.9 points per game (1,446 points/21 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.4

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 10.6 assists per game (564 assists/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Detroit Mercy has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (230 assists/ 270 TOs) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Detroit Mercy averaged 1.17 points per shot (2,044 points/1,746 shots) last season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Detroit Mercy is shooting 45% from inside the arc (245/544) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 52%

Northern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has averaged 8.1 steals per game (171 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (458 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Northern Kentucky averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (696 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Northern Kentucky averaged 8.6 steals per game (267 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Detroit Mercy has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,137 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (251/675) last season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.