Ohio State vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Kentucky is a -8.5 point favorite vs Ohio State
  • Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
  • Ohio State / Kentucky TV channel: CBS

The Ohio State Buckeyes visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in New York, NY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Ohio State vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State+8.5 -110O 160.5 -110+290
Kentucky -8.5 -110U 160.5 -110-375

Ohio State vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ohio State vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.27 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+3.20 Units / 0% ROI)

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 0.26% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.75 Units / -14.4% ROI).

  • 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 1.61% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State is shooting 41% from three (99/244) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Ohio State shot 45% (892/1,966) last season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Ohio State has averaged 1.31 points per shot (3,409 points/2,611 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Ohio State has averaged 14.9 assists per game (164 assists/11 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 16.0

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (214 assists/ 106 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky has a 30% free throw rate (814 free throw attempts/2,674 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (254/660) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (760 points/660 shots) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Ohio State allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (2,313 points/1,963 shots) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,091/2,623) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (359 rebounds/11 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.5

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (227 points/206 shots) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.33

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (84/304) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (292/742) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.