Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

(AP Photo)
  • Michigan State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Purdue
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Purdue / Michigan State TV channel: PEAC

The Purdue Boilermakers visit Jack Breslin Students Events Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI, USA.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Purdue vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue+3.5 -110O 148.5 -115+140
Michigan State -3.5 -110U 148.5 -105-170

Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 64.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+11.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+9.96 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.08 Units / 19% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.16% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 3.72% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.42% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -26.32% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 17-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.2 Units / 29.93% ROI).

  • 20-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 1.32% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Over for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Under for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,048 points/2,145 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue is shooting 40% from three (510/1,292) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 81% from the free throw line (461/572) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74%

Michigan State is shooting 29% from three (139/478) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has made 5.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (85/308) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Purdue forced 8.7 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (173/599) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (112/395) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (787 points/757 shots) in the first half this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.14


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.