Purdue vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 5

Penn State head coach Mike Rhoades speaks during Big Ten NCAA college basketball Media Days Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
  • Penn State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Purdue
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Purdue / Penn State TV channel: FS1

The Purdue Boilermakers visit Bryce Jordan Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions on Dec. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in University Park, PA.

Penn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Purdue vs. Penn State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue+1.5 -110O 149.5 -110-105
Penn State -1.5 -110U 149.5 -110-115

Purdue vs Penn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 58.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 34 games (+20.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+13.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+15.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 6.35% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 2.76% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue averaged 18.6 assists per game (690 assists/37 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Purdue averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,048 points/2,145 shots) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,114 points/938 shots) in the first half last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Penn State shot 75% from the free throw line (502/671) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Penn State shot 74% from the free throw line (209/283) in the first half last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Penn State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (197 assists/ 171 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,334 points/1,149 shots) in the second half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,054 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (731 rebounds/32 games) last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — 10th most among Power Conference teams

Penn State averaged 8.3 steals per game (266 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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