Saint Mary’s vs Portland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

(AP Photo)
  • Saint Mary’s is a -17.5 point favorite vs Portland
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Saint Mary’s / Portland TV channel: ESPN+

The Saint Mary’s Gaels visit Chiles Center to take on the Portland Pilots on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).

The Saint Mary’s vs. Portland Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Saint Mary’s vs. Portland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saint Mary’s-17.5 -115O 139.5 -110-2500
Portland +17.5 -105U 139.5 -110+1150

Saint Mary’s vs Portland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Saint Mary’s vs Portland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+20.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+13.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.56 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Portland have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games at home (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 3-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.15 Units / -59.22% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 0.79% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.35 Units / 2.28% ROI

Portland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Portland has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.56% ROI).

  • 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -47.34% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Saint Mary’s has averaged 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (234 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Saint Mary’s has averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (654 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Saint Mary’s has 234 offensive rebounds this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

Portland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Portland has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (116 rebounds/16 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Portland has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (219 turnovers/16 games) this season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Portland made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Portland has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (219 turnovers/16 games) this season — 3rd highest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has allowed 60.4 points per game (2,719 points/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.1

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Saint Mary’s allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Saint Mary’s has averaged 6.9 steals per game (104 steals/15 games) this season — 5th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Portland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Portland averaged 4.1 steals per game (127 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Portland has allowed 10.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Portland has averaged 4.8 steals per game (77 steals/16 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Portland has allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4


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