Samford vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 19, 2024, 9:44 AM
  • Michigan State is a -17.5 point favorite vs Samford
  • Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
  • Samford / Michigan State TV channel: PEAC

The Samford Bulldogs visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Nov. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Samford vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 162.5 total points.

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Samford vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Samford+17.5 -110O 162.5 -110+1000
Michigan State -17.5 -110U 162.5 -110-2000

Samford vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Samford vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+21.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+16.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.04 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+2.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has a 1-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 5.67% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.17% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Samford assisted on 599 field goals last season — most among Southern Teams

Samford averaged 17.6 assists per game (599 assists/34 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (268 assists/ 152 TOs) in the second half last season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford averaged 10.0 steals per game (341 steals/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Samford forced 16.0 turnovers per game (544 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Samford stole the ball 341 times last season — most among Southern Teams

Samford averaged 10.0 steals per game (341 steals/34 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State allowed 66.2 points per game (2,252 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (135/410) in the first half last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State averaged 7.1 steals per game (240 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.