- March Madness prediction & betting odds
- UConn (24-12) is a -10.5 point favorite vs San Diego State (14-20)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- San Diego State / UConn TV channel: TBS
The San Diego State Aztecs (14-20) visit TD Garden to take on the UConn Huskies (24-12) on Mar. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:39pm EDT in Boston, MA.
UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The San Diego State vs. UConn Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +10.5 -105 | O 136.5 -115 | +475 |
| UConn | -10.5 -115 | U 136.5 -105 | -650 |
San Diego State vs UConn Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
San Diego State vs UConn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
Bet now on UConn vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
San Diego State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
UConn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 29 games (+24.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
San Diego State has a 14-20 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8 Units / -21.36% ROI).
- 23-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 7.54% ROI
- 18-16 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 0.93% ROI
- 16-18 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -10.17% ROI
UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UConn has a 21-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+12.15 Units / 38.03% ROI).
- 24-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.5 Units / 6.54% ROI
- 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -14.66% ROI
- 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.75 Units / 5.51% ROI
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:
San Diego State has 21.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
San Diego State has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%
San Diego State has 838 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Mountain West Teams
San Diego State has averaged 1.27 points per shot (2,532 points/1,987 shots) this season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.30
UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,322 assists/73 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2
UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,322 assists/ 840 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (638 assists/ 337 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
UConn has averaged 18.8 assists per game (638 assists/34 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (490/1,650) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (793/1,941) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,671/4,087) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%
San Diego State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (2,287 points/1,941 shots) this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23
UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (910 rebounds/34 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
UConn has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,944 rebounds/73 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (763/1,919) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,619/4,064) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
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