SMU vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 15

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • SMU is a -1.5 point favorite vs Butler
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • SMU / Butler TV channel: FS2

The SMU Mustangs visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs on Nov. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The SMU vs. Butler Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-1.5 -105O 155.5 -110-115
Butler +1.5 -115U 155.5 -110-105

SMU vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 1-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.26% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 1-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -28.26% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU averaged 15.2 assists per game (488 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 47th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler averaged 26% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (492 free throw attempts/1,881 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Butler had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (466 assists/ 324 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Butler had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (104/344) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,222 points/1,918 shots) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Butler forced 11.4 turnovers per game (354 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Butler allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,222 points/1,918 shots) last season — 5th highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.19


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.