SMU vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

A close up of a team manager wearing a red suit talking to his team
(AP Photo)
  • SMU is a -3.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • SMU / North Carolina State TV channel: CW

The SMU Mustangs visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Raleigh, NC, USA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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SMU vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-3.5 -110O 145.5 -105-160
North Carolina State +3.5 -110U 145.5 -115+135

SMU vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 67.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+1.50 Units / 0% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+12.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+2.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.36 Units / 2% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.95 Units / -9.33% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 0.16% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 30.07% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -40.05% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 6-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.2 Units / -36.27% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -0.52% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Over for -7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Under for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,599 points/1,167 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29

SMU is shooting 48% (562/1,167) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

SMU has averaged 16.5 assists per game (313 assists/19 games) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.9

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (171 turnovers/18 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (540 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina State has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (171 turnovers/18 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

North Carolina State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU has 151 steals this season — 3rd most among ACC Teams

SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (415 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

SMU has averaged 7.9 steals per game (151 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina State averaged 7.3 steals per game (286 steals/39 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 2nd most among ACC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.