SMU vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

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North Texas' Moulaye Sissoko (14) grabs a rebound against UAB's Trey Jemison (55) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in the final of the NIT, Thursday, March 30, 2023, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
(AP Photo/John Locher)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2024, 11:39 AM
  • SMU (11-5) is a -1.5 point favorite vs North Texas (9-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • SMU / North Texas TV channel: ESPN2

The SMU Mustangs (11-5) visit The Super Pit to take on the North Texas Mean Green (9-6) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Denton, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The SMU vs. North Texas Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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SMU vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-1.5 -105O 125.5 -110-120
North Texas +1.5 -115U 125.5 -110+100

SMU vs North Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+3.05 Units / 3% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games at home (+14.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 11-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.6 Units / 35.29% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 9.65% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.53% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.45 Units / 23.86% ROI

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.38% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (649/956) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,621 points/3,030 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (727 assists/ 629 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,621 points/3,030 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 65.4 points per game (3,599 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

North Texas has averaged 10.7 assists per game (591 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (591 assists/ 629 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (174 assists/ 201 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (394/1,065) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

SMU has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (1,123 points/1,065 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (102/399) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has allowed 56.6 points per game (3,112 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0

North Texas has allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.