- SMU (11-5) is a -1.5 point favorite vs North Texas (9-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
- SMU / North Texas TV channel: ESPN2
The SMU Mustangs (11-5) visit The Super Pit to take on the North Texas Mean Green (9-6) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Denton, TX.
SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The SMU vs. North Texas Over/Under is 125.5 total points.
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SMU vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
SMU | -1.5 -105 | O 125.5 -110 | -120 |
North Texas | +1.5 -115 | U 125.5 -110 | +100 |
SMU vs North Texas Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs North Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+3.05 Units / 3% ROI)
North Texas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games at home (+14.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 11-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.6 Units / 35.29% ROI).
- 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 9.65% ROI
- 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.53% ROI
- 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.45 Units / 23.86% ROI
North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Texas has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.38% ROI
- 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
- 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (649/956) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%
SMU has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,621 points/3,030 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (727 assists/ 629 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
SMU has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,621 points/3,030 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Texas has averaged 65.4 points per game (3,599 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5
North Texas has averaged 10.7 assists per game (591 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (591 assists/ 629 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (174 assists/ 201 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (394/1,065) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%
SMU has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (1,123 points/1,065 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.19
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (102/399) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Texas has allowed 56.6 points per game (3,112 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0
North Texas has allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
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