South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
  • Texas State is a -1.5 point favorite vs South Alabama
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • South Alabama / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in San Marcos, TX, USA.

Texas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The South Alabama vs. Texas State Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+1.5 -110O 134.5 -115+105
Texas State -1.5 -110U 134.5 -105-125

South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Alabama vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.36 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.05 Units / -24.47% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Over for -9.6 Units / -33.57% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Under for +7.2 Units / 25.17% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.88% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -13.13% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 13.99% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -22.73% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 241 TOs) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Alabama averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (211 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

South Alabama has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (241 turnovers/28 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

South Alabama has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 5.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas State had an eFG% of 48% last season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas State is shooting 36% from three (165/458) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

South Alabama has averaged 9.4 steals per game (263 steals/28 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Alabama has allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (602/1,598) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (206/557) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State has 439 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.