- Baylor is a -30.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Tarleton State / Baylor TV channel: ESPN+
The Tarleton State Texans visit Foster Pavilion to take on the Baylor Bears on Nov. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Waco, TX.
Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -30.5 (-110).
The Tarleton State vs. Baylor Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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Tarleton State vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tarleton State | +30.5 -110 | O 143.5 -110 | + |
| Baylor | -30.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 | + |
Tarleton State vs Baylor Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Tarleton State vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Tarleton State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+14.30 Units / 74% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Baylor Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tarleton State has a 0-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Baylor has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.27% ROI
- 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State had an eFG% of 50% last season — 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28
Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28
Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (715 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Tarleton State averaged 8.7 steals per game (277 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Tarleton State forced 13.4 turnovers per game (429 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
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