- California Baptist (4-9) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State (6-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
- Tarleton State / California Baptist TV channel: ESPN+
The Tarleton State Texans (6-5) visit Fowler Events Center to take on the California Baptist Lancers (4-9) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Riverside, CA.
California Baptist is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Tarleton State vs. California Baptist Over/Under is 129.5 total points.
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Tarleton State vs. California Baptist Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tarleton State | +3.5 -110 | O 129.5 -110 | +145 |
| California Baptist | -3.5 -110 | U 129.5 -110 | -175 |
Tarleton State vs California Baptist Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts California Baptist will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Tarleton State vs California Baptist Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Tarleton State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
California Baptist Basketball Best Bets Today:
- California Baptist has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- California Baptist has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- California Baptist has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- California Baptist has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+0.85 Units / 3% ROI)
Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tarleton State has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 0% ROI
- 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / 0% ROI
California Baptist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
California Baptist has a 4-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / 0% ROI
- 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / 0% ROI
- 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.55 Units / 0% ROI
Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Tarleton State has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 51%
Tarleton State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (614 assists/ 568 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Tarleton State has a 40% free throw rate (1,078 free throw attempts/2,706 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 37%
California Baptist Offensive Stats & Trends:
California Baptist is shooting 66% from the free throw line (619/939) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 70%
California Baptist is shooting 66% from the free throw line (619/939) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
California Baptist has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (626 assists/ 534 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
California Baptist has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,304 points/2,742 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.28
Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has forced 16.6 turnovers per game (798 turnovers/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4
Tarleton State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (463 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Tarleton State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,003 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Tarleton State has 463 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among Division 1 Teams
California Baptist Defensive Stats & Trends:
California Baptist has averaged 4.6 steals per game (220 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
California Baptist has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
California Baptist has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,121 points/2,703 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
California Baptist has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (262/847) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%
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