Tarleton State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 21

(AP Photo)
  • Michigan is a -30.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Tarleton State / Michigan TV channel: BTN

The Tarleton State Texans visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Nov. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -30.5 (-115).

The Tarleton State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+30.5 -105O 148.5 -115+
Michigan -30.5 -115U 148.5 -105+

Tarleton State vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tarleton State vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+12.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.75 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.90 Units / 4% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 0-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.35% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State had an eFG% of 50% last season — 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 7.4 turnovers per game (215 turnovers/29 games) in the first half last season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Michigan had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (358 assists/ 381 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (381 turnovers/29 games) last season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Michigan shot 36% from three (229/639) last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (715 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tarleton State averaged 8.7 steals per game (277 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tarleton State forced 13.4 turnovers per game (429 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (1,194 points/875 shots) in the second half last season — tied for highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Michigan allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,277 points/1,798 shots) last season — tied for 3rd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Michigan allowed 78.5 points per game (2,277 points/29 games) last season — 2nd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.