Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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  • Texas-Arlington is a -7.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Tarleton State / Texas-Arlington TV channel: ESPNU

The Tarleton State Texans visit College Park Center to take on the Texas-Arlington Mavericks on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Arlington, TX, USA.

Texas-Arlington is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Tarleton State vs. Texas-Arlington Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Texas-Arlington Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+7.5 -115O 137.5 -110+240
Texas-Arlington -7.5 -105U 137.5 -110-300

Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas-Arlington will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.17 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UT Arlington have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -7.11% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -12.17% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.4% ROI

Texas-Arlington Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas-Arlington has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -4.38% ROI).

  • 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -10.78% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.54% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 17.1 turnovers per game (461 turnovers/27 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Tarleton State has made 4.4 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Tarleton State has averaged 64.3 points per game (1,736 points/27 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Texas-Arlington Offensive Stats & Trends:

UT Arlington averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (504 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

UT Arlington averaged 15.8 assists per game (536 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

UT Arlington made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UT Arlington averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,614 points/1,981 shots) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 10.0 steals per game (269 steals/27 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Tarleton State has averaged 19.6 defensive rebounds per game (528 rebounds/27 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Tarleton State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (546 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Tarleton State has forced 16.5 turnovers per game (446 turnovers/27 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Texas-Arlington Defensive Stats & Trends:

UT Arlington allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,492 points/1,961 shots) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.