Tarleton State vs Utah Valley Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 11:34 AM
  • Utah Valley (12-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Tarleton State / Utah Valley TV channel: ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans (11-8) visit UCCU Center to take on the Utah Valley Wolverines (12-8) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Orem, UT.

Utah Valley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Tarleton State vs. Utah Valley Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Utah Valley Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+3.5 -110O 137.5 -110+140
Utah Valley -3.5 -110U 137.5 -110-165

Tarleton State vs Utah Valley Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Utah Valley will win this college basketball game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tarleton State vs Utah Valley Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Utah Valley have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Utah Valley have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 25.89% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI

Utah Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah Valley has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 5.45% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -24.28% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -4.32% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -0.95 Units / -4.32% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tarleton State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (698 assists/ 641 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Tarleton State is shooting 51% from inside the arc (871/1,719) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 51%

Utah Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley is shooting 31% from three (351/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Utah Valley has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Utah Valley has 23.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Utah Valley has 21.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (520 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tarleton State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,149 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (458 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Tarleton State has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (884 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Utah Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (4,095 points/3,632 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Utah Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (383/1,215) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Utah Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,472/3,632) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Utah Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,472/3,632) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.