Tennessee State vs Morehead State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

No 3 Morehead State player dribbling the ball
(AP Photo)
  • Morehead State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Tennessee State / Morehead State TV channel: ESPN+

The Tennessee State Tigers visit Johnson Arena to take on the Morehead State Eagles on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Morehead, KY.

Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee State+3.5 -110O 148.5 -115+145
Morehead State -3.5 -110U 148.5 -105-175

Tennessee State vs Morehead State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee State vs Morehead State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Morehead State will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 away games (+9.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.23 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.07 Units / 0% ROI)

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -4.35% ROI
  • 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.35% ROI
  • 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -78.68% ROI

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 5-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -33.2% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (182 turnovers/12 games) this season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Tennessee State has averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (185 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Tennessee State has a 36% free throw rate (286 free throw attempts/791 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 30%

Tennessee State has averaged 81.4 points per game (977 points/12 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State attempted 895 threes last season — most among Ohio Valley Teams

Morehead State made 9.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Morehead State had an eFG% of 55% last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 49%

Morehead State shot 36% from three (326/895) last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (336 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Tennessee State has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (336 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Tennessee State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (684 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (88 steals/12 games) this season — 5th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (63 steals/11 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morehead State averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (903 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 46th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Morehead State averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (903 rebounds/34 games) last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Morehead State averaged 5.9 steals per game (199 steals/34 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.