Tennessee vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Texas head coach Rodney Terry calls to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against UConn in Austin, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Tennessee is a -4.5 point favorite vs Texas
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Tennessee / Texas TV channel: ESPN

The Tennessee Volunteers visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Austin, TX.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Tennessee vs. Texas Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

Bet now on Texas vs Tennessee & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Tennessee vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-4.5 -115O 136.5 -105-210
Texas +4.5 -105U 136.5 -115+170

Tennessee vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Texas vs Tennessee and all games with BetMGM


  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+2.70 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.82 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 13.81% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 0.66% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Over for -6.05 Units / -36.56% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.36% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 0.54% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -10.3% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (551 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (257 assists/ 156 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee is shooting 80% from the free throw line (109/136) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Tennessee averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/33 games) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas shot 42% from inside the arc (47/113) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (219 assists/ 140 TOs) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Texas has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (140 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (885 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tennessee has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (405 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Tennessee has allowed 57.1 points per game (856 points/15 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (98/399) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%


Bet now on Texas vs Tennessee and all games with BetMGM


More College Basketball Betting at

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting throughout the year. From futures like national championship odds and conference championship odds to weekly team betting like Purdue basketball odds, Michigan basketball odds, or Indiana basketball odds, there’s entertainment for everyone. If you don’t have an account, check your eligibility for a sportsbook welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500