Texas A&M vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:10 PM
  • Kentucky (18-13) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Texas A&M (15-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Texas A&M / Kentucky TV channel: SECN

The Texas A&M Aggies (15-17) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (18-13) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M+5.5 -110O 159.5 -115+195
Kentucky -5.5 -110U 159.5 -105-250

Texas A&M vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas A&M vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+6.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Texas A&M Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M has a 15-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -10.52% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.65 Units / 13.15% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -22.25% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -1.58% ROI
  • 22-9 when betting the Over for +12.05 Units / 35.23% ROI
  • 9-22 when betting the Under for -15.15 Units / -44.56% ROI

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (387 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Texas A&M is shooting 26% from three (137/518) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M is shooting 26% from three (137/518) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Texas A&M has a TS% of 42% this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 6.8 steals per game (231 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas A&M has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (177/525) this season — tied for 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas A&M has allowed 34.9 points per game (732 points/21 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1

Texas A&M has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (732 points/606 shots) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.