Texas vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 04, 2024, 9:49 AM
  • Texas is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Texas / North Carolina State TV channel: ESPN2

The Texas Longhorns visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Dec. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:15pm EST in Raleigh, NC.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Texas vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Texas vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas-2.5 -110O 144.5 -105-150
North Carolina State +2.5 -110U 144.5 -115+125

Texas vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on North Carolina State vs Texas and all games with BetMGM


  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+18.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+4.73 Units / 10% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+2.20 Units / 5% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 1.77% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.33% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas shot 42% from inside the arc (47/113) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/39 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina State averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,537 points/1,143 shots) in the second half last season — 5th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.34

North Carolina State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (501 assists/ 369 TOs) last season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina State shot 45% (512/1,143) in the second half last season — tied for 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed 3.7 made three-pointers per game in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.6

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State averaged 7.3 steals per game (286 steals/39 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

North Carolina State allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (1,434 points/1,133 shots) in the second half last season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.