Texas State vs Abilene Christian Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 16

Abilene Christian head coach Brette Tanner talks to his players during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kansas State Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Abilene Christian is a -1.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Texas State / Abilene Christian TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit Moody Coliseum to take on the Abilene Christian Wildcats on Nov. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Abilene, TX.

Abilene Christian is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Texas State vs. Abilene Christian Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Abilene Christian Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+1.5 -110O 137.5 -115+105
Abilene Christian -1.5 -110U 137.5 -105-130

Texas State vs Abilene Christian Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Abilene Christian Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 64.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Abilene Christian Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Abilene Christian has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas State had an eFG% of 48% last season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Abilene Christian Offensive Stats & Trends:

Abilene Christian made 5.4 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Abilene Christian had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Abilene Christian had 22.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Abilene Christian averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (717 free throw attempts/1,868 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State forced 12.4 turnovers per game (421 turnovers/34 games) last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Abilene Christian Defensive Stats & Trends:

Abilene Christian allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Abilene Christian allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (2,344 points/1,818 shots) last season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Abilene Christian forced 14.1 turnovers per game (450 turnovers/32 games) last season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Abilene Christian allowed opponents to shoot 46% (828/1,818) last season — tied for 35th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.