Texas State vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2024, 9:42 AM
  • TCU is a -15.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Texas State / TCU TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena to take on the TCU Horned Frogs on Nov. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Fort Worth, TX.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Texas State vs. TCU Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+15.5 -110O 137.5 -110+850
TCU -15.5 -110U 137.5 -110-1600

Texas State vs TCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.45 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 61% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 28.57% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.92% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas State had an eFG% of 48% last season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU shot 23% (13/56) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State forced 12.4 turnovers per game (421 turnovers/34 games) last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU forced 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.