Toledo vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 18

Houston guard Terrance Arceneaux (23) hangs on the rim after his slam dunk against Butler during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
  • Houston is a -29.5 point favorite vs Toledo
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Toledo / Houston TV channel: ESPN+

The Toledo Rockets visit Fertitta Center to take on the Houston Cougars on Dec. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -29.5 (-105).

The Toledo vs. Houston Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

Bet now on Houston vs Toledo & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Toledo vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo+29.5 -115O 142.5 -115+
Houston -29.5 -105U 142.5 -105+

Toledo vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Houston vs Toledo and all games with BetMGM


  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 25 games at home (+19.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -16.81% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 5-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -7.02% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -37% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.55% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (329 turnovers/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Toledo had a TS% of 49% last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 47%

Toledo averaged 1.33 points per shot (2,560 points/1,921 shots) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/36 games) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Houston averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (482 rebounds/36 games) last season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Houston averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/36 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Houston averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/36 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo stole the ball 230 times last season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game (230 steals/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Toledo averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (733 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston averaged 9.9 steals per game (357 steals/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Houston averaged 9.9 steals per game (357 steals/36 games) last season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston allowed 57.5 points per game (2,070 points/36 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Houston allowed 57.5 points per game (2,070 points/36 games) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 69.0


Bet now on Houston vs Toledo and all games with BetMGM


More College Basketball Betting at

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting throughout the year. From futures like national championship odds and conference championship odds to weekly team betting like Purdue basketball odds, Michigan basketball odds, or Indiana basketball odds, there’s entertainment for everyone. If you don’t have an account, check your eligibility for a sportsbook welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.