Toledo vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 29

In this photo taken on Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2021, Purdue plays against Michigan State at Mackey Arena during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in West Lafayette, Ind. Mackey Arena is one of six venues hosting NCAA Tournament games later this week.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Purdue is a -20.5 point favorite vs Toledo
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Toledo / Purdue TV channel: BTN

The Toledo Rockets visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Dec. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).

The Toledo vs. Purdue Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo+20.5 -105O 156.5 -110+1400
Purdue -20.5 -115U 156.5 -110-5000

Toledo vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 away games (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 24 games at home (+18.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+9.01 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -19.63% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 5-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 3.94% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (142 assists/ 93 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo is shooting 48% (1,217/2,545) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo averaged 80.0 points per game (2,560 points/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue is shooting 41% from three (404/998) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,048 points/2,145 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (733 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Toledo has averaged 6.5 steals per game (65 steals/10 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Toledo stole the ball 230 times last season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game (230 steals/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,054 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Purdue allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,334 points/1,149 shots) in the second half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,181 points/1,135 shots) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.