Tulsa vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 16

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Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2024, 9:39 AM
  • Tulsa is a -3.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Tulsa / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Nov. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.

Tulsa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Tulsa vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Tulsa vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulsa-3.5 -110O 147.5 -110-165
Missouri State +3.5 -110U 147.5 -110+135

Tulsa vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tulsa will win this college basketball game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tulsa vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tulsa has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Tulsa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tulsa has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.23% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tulsa had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (360 assists/ 380 TOs) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tulsa had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (360 assists/ 380 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tulsa shot 32% from three (221/689) last season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tulsa averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (380 turnovers/29 games) last season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State had 321 offensive rebounds last season — tied for most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,192 points/1,799 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tulsa allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (211/666) last season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tulsa allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (2,140 points/1,754 shots) last season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Tulsa allowed opponents to shoot 42% (745/1,754) last season — tied for 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Tulsa averaged 7.9 steals per game (228 steals/29 games) last season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.