UMBC vs UMass Lowell Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 20

(AP Photo)
  • UMass Lowell is a -6.5 point favorite vs UMBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
  • UMBC / UMass Lowell TV channel: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers visit Costello Athletic Center to take on the UMass Lowell River Hawks on Feb. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Lowell, MA, MA, USA.

UMass Lowell is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The UMBC vs. UMass Lowell Over/Under is 162.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. UMass Lowell Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+6.5 -105O 162.5 -110+225
UMass Lowell -6.5 -115U 162.5 -110-275

UMBC vs UMass Lowell Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMass Lowell will win this college basketball game with 74.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs UMass Lowell Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.21 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.22 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.41 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+0.14 Units / 0% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -30.81% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting the Over for +8.3 Units / 31.44% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting the Under for -10.6 Units / -40.15% ROI

UMass Lowell Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass Lowell has a 8-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / -29.25% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -10.18% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.39% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -8.51% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has made 8.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.4

UMBC has an eFG% of 56% this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMBC shot 47% (928/1,988) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMBC had 15.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

UMass Lowell Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass Lowell had 23.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 18.6

UMass Lowell averaged 39% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (722 free throw attempts/1,871 field goal attempts) last season — highest among America East Teams; League Avg: 31%

UMass Lowell has a 37% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,511 field goal attempts) this season — highest among America East Teams; League Avg: 30%

UMass Lowell has 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 17.8

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (804 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UMBC averaged 5.2 steals per game (162 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC has 208 steals this season — 3rd most among America East Teams

UMBC has averaged 7.7 steals per game (208 steals/27 games) this season — 3rd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.5

UMass Lowell Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass Lowell allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (2,190 points/2,003 shots) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UMass Lowell averaged 7.0 steals per game (216 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.8

UMass Lowell has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (4,122 points/3,697 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

UMass Lowell has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,550 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.9


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