Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:18 PM
  • New Mexico (11-5) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Utah State (8-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Utah State / New Mexico TV channel: FS1

The Utah State Aggies (8-6) visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos (11-5) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Albuquerque, NM.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Utah State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Utah State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+5.5 -105O 157.5 -110+200
New Mexico -5.5 -115U 157.5 -110-250

Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Utah State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+14.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+5.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+3.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -100% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / -100% ROI

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (298 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Utah State is shooting 50% (507/1,012) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Utah State has averaged 17.0 assists per game (885 assists/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Utah State has averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,392 points/1,012 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 5.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

New Mexico has 23.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

New Mexico has averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (215 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (97/352) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 32%

Utah State has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Utah State has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (462 rebounds/17 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.8

Utah State has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (273 turnovers/17 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 13.0

New Mexico has 169 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has averaged 9.9 steals per game (169 steals/17 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

New Mexico has averaged 27.9 defensive rebounds per game (474 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.