Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 28

(AP Photo)
  • San Diego State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Utah State
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Utah State / San Diego State TV channel: FOX

The Utah State Aggies visit Viejas Arena to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Dec. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Utah State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Utah State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+4.5 -110O 144.5 -110+165
San Diego State -4.5 -110U 144.5 -110-200

Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 65.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Utah State vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+16.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.48 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.99 Units / 14% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.15% ROI).

  • 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 3.07% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -29.63% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 22.41% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 3-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 7.42% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (221 assists/ 141 TOs) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Utah State has averaged 1.40 points per shot (1,024 points/733 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Utah State made 6.4 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Utah State shot 49% (941/1,920) last season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State shot 44% (926/2,100) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Diego State has a 25% free throw rate (155 free throw attempts/615 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (205/698) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Utah State allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (205/698) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah State allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Utah State has allowed 65.7 points per game (788 points/12 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.0

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (208/596) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (632 points/596 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,051/2,656) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (251 points/235 shots) this season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.33


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.