Utah Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 1:36 PM
  • Tarleton State (17-9) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Utah Valley (16-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Utah Valley / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Utah Valley Wolverines (16-11) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (17-9) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah Valley+6.5 -105O 140.5 -115+250
Tarleton State -6.5 -115U 140.5 -105-300

Utah Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Utah Valley vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Utah Valley will cover the spread with 56.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Utah Valley have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+17.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Utah Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah Valley has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.4% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -21.92% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.95 Units / 13.28% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 17-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.2 Units / 28.62% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.2 Units / 43.99% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI

Utah Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Utah Valley has made 5.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Utah Valley has 21.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Utah Valley is shooting 69% from the free throw line (365/529) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Tarleton State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (715 assists/ 653 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Tarleton State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Utah Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (4,167 points/3,692 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Utah Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (391/1,230) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (4,167 points/3,692 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Utah Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,499/3,692) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (531 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (899 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Tarleton State has 531 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th most among Division 1 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.