UTEP vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
  • Liberty is a -8.5 point favorite vs UTEP
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • UTEP / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The UTEP Miners visit Propst Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in Huntsville, AL, USA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The UTEP vs. Liberty Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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UTEP vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP+8.5 -115O 136.5 -110+280
Liberty -8.5 -105U 136.5 -110-350

UTEP vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTEP vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+17.85 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+4.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

UTEP Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTEP has a 11-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -20.66% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 5.35% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -14.69% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 18-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.1 Units / 26.34% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 1.99% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -11.51% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTEP has 23.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 19.9

UTEP had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (407 assists/ 453 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UTEP averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (453 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

UTEP made 5.6 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty has made 10.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (513 assists/ 315 TOs) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (999 assists/ 622 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTEP has averaged 10.4 steals per game (321 steals/31 games) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

UTEP has averaged 10.4 steals per game (321 steals/31 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UTEP averaged 11.4 steals per game (354 steals/31 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UTEP has averaged 10.9 steals per game (675 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (346/1,183) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,932 points/1,807 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.